CD Lugo vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LEG
2 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 1
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAD
0 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 1
MIR
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
MLL
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 0
REC
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
REC
0 - 0
ALA
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZAR
2 - 0
REC
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FCB
3 - 1
REC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |