CD Lugo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 2
LUG
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PON
3 - 4
LUG
12%
22%
65%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VAD
1 - 0
LUG
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 0
SPO
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
3 - 1
UCA
70%
21%
9%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 2
EIB
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDE
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
TER
0 - 2
ZAR
7%
15%
79%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |