Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Lugo vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 0
LAR
62%
25%
14%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
NAV
3 - 2
LUG
15%
23%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
CDO
4 - 0
LUG
77%
18%
6%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
23%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
REU
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
HUE
0 - 0
ZAR
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATB
55%
28%
17%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
IBI
3 - 0
ZAR
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
ZAR
2 - 0
SAB
34%
32%
33%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +4 |