CD Lugo vs Real Valladolid Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUG
39%
29%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 1
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 3
RUN
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
LUG
0 - 1
UDF
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 2
LUG
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
CUL
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
RUN
1 - 0
VAL
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 4
LOG
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAL
54%
27%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
RUN
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |