CD Lugo vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
PON
0 - 3
LUG
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
GET
0 - 3
LUG
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 1
TAL
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
CAR
0 - 0
LUG
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
ROB
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
TAL
2 - 0
RMC
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
ROB
3 - 0
RMC
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
RMC
0 - 4
FUE
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
AVI
2 - 1
RMC
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |