CD Lugo vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
52%
27%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
ATB
2 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
3 - 1
CDM
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
0 - 0
SSR
53%
26%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
UDL
4 - 0
LUG
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
SSR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMC
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
RMC
2 - 0
CDM
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
COL
0 - 1
RMC
47%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
FUE
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |