CD Lugo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1989 |
BAS
0 - 4
LUG
50%
28%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 3
CDU
66%
22%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ATH
1 - 0
LUG
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 0
ROB
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 0
LUG
46%
30%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
AVI
2 - 1
BER
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
CUL
0 - 1
AVI
48%
28%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 0
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
RCF
2 - 0
AVI
30%
32%
38%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
53%
27%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |