CD Lugo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CDO
0 - 0
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 3
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LAN
3 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
1 - 0
ULP
23%
29%
48%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CUL
4 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
0 - 0
RMC
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PON
2 - 1
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
ALC
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COR
0 - 0
AVI
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 4
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |