CD Lugo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
ROB
1 - 0
LUG
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 1
AVI
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
REA
1 - 1
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
LUG
5 - 0
MST
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
ATB
3 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
AVI
2 - 1
VAL
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
AVI
5 - 1
ROB
40%
30%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
AVI
1 - 0
AVI
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
AVI
1 - 0
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
MST
0 - 1
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |