CD Lugo vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
CUL
1 - 1
LUG
49%
29%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEG
51%
28%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
UPL
1 - 2
LUG
51%
28%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 1
AVI
47%
29%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
COL
0 - 0
LUG
41%
31%
29%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
AVI
1 - 1
SPB
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 1
AVI
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
AVI
3 - 0
PON
51%
27%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
ARO
3 - 2
AVI
44%
29%
27%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
AVI
0 - 0
CDO
49%
28%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |