CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 5
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
LUG
25%
27%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
COX
1 - 2
LUG
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALB
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 2
CEL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 1
RVB
29%
27%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 3
LEG
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 2
RVB
29%
27%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RVB
1 - 1
ROD
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |