CD Lugo vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CDB
3 - 1
LUG
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
VEC
0 - 1
LUG
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
GET
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RVB
0 - 1
GUA
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 0
RVB
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RVB
2 - 1
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ATB
1 - 0
RVB
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RVB
3 - 1
UBC
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |