CD Lugo vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
CCF
22%
26%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
HER
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LUG
15%
23%
63%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HUE
1 - 1
RAC
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CCF
2 - 0
RAC
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
UDL
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |