Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-3
CD Lugo vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
57%
27%
15%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
RCF
1 - 2
LUG
43%
30%
27%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
BUR
2 - 3
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 0
BUR
70%
17%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1991 |
FCB
0 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
RCF
3 - 1
LEM
77%
17%
6%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1991 |
RCF
1 - 2
LUG
43%
30%
27%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
LAL
1 - 2
RCF
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
RCF
3 - 2
LAL
39%
27%
34%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
VIL
1 - 0
RCF
38%
28%
34%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |