Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
CD Lugo vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
RMC
0 - 0
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 0
ROB
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CAM
0 - 0
LUG
60%
24%
17%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
RCF
2 - 0
LUG
46%
29%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
70%
20%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
RCF
0 - 0
BUR
78%
17%
6%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
BOI
2 - 2
RCF
17%
28%
55%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
RCF
2 - 0
LEM
79%
17%
5%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
RCF
2 - 0
LUG
46%
29%
25%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
ARO
0 - 0
RCF
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |