Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-7
CD Lugo vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
LUG
1 - 1
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CAU
2 - 0
LUG
65%
23%
12%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
5 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
LUG
4 - 0
ZAM
44%
29%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
LEM
1 - 1
LUG
64%
24%
12%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ENS
1 - 0
RCF
53%
25%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 0
TUR
71%
20%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
5 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
GIN
1 - 1
RCF
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
RCF
1 - 0
RAC
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |