CD Lugo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
CDG
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 0
RSO
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SES
3 - 0
LUG
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 0
LEM
50%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
CUL
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 4
PON
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PON
0 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 0
PON
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |