Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-1
CD Lugo vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
LEO
1 - 0
LUG
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
PON
0 - 0
LUG
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
ATH
2 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
LUG
0 - 4
SSC
35%
28%
38%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
AST
3 - 3
PON
17%
26%
57%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
PON
0 - 0
LUG
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
PON
2 - 0
GIM
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 2
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
PON
5 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |