CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
AVI
3 - 1
LUG
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIE
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
SPB
3 - 1
LUG
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDT
25%
28%
48%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
CDO
4 - 1
SSR
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
PPJ
0 - 1
CDO
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CDO
5 - 1
FUE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2001 |
VEC
1 - 1
CDO
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CDO
1 - 0
CAU
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |