CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
STA
2 - 1
LUG
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 0
MST
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
GAL
2 - 0
LUG
23%
30%
47%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 2
CDT
70%
20%
11%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
ASP
0 - 1
LUG
40%
28%
32%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
CDO
0 - 1
SSR
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
UDL
0 - 1
CDO
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1995 |
CDO
1 - 2
RCF
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
CDO
2 - 0
CDM
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
COL
2 - 0
CDO
44%
29%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |