Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
CD Lugo vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 0
VIV
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
VIV
1 - 1
LUG
33%
31%
36%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1993 |
VIL
3 - 1
LUG
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCB
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 0
LUG
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
CDO
4 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
10%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
CAR
0 - 3
CDO
43%
30%
27%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
CDO
2 - 1
SLA
32%
31%
37%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
CUL
1 - 1
CDO
45%
32%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
CDO
0 - 2
GET
41%
32%
27%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |