CD Lugo vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
CDO
1 - 0
LUG
50%
29%
21%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
LEG
0 - 0
LUG
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 1
CFP
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
MST
2 - 0
GET
27%
32%
41%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ASP
1 - 0
MST
64%
22%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
MST
0 - 1
CUL
45%
29%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
AVI
2 - 0
MST
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
MST
3 - 3
ATB
27%
31%
42%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |