Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
CD Lugo vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAD
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
LUG
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ELC
2 - 1
LUG
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
LEG
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 2
LEV
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GET
0 - 1
LEV
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
VAD
2 - 1
LEV
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |