CD Lugo vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
CEL
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 0
BET
80%
15%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUG
13%
23%
64%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
VIV
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 3
LUG
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
SSR
3 - 0
GIM
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
SOL
2 - 2
GIM
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
GIM
4 - 1
REV
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 3
GIM
29%
27%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GIM
4 - 0
GAM
72%
19%
10%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |