CD Lugo vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
PON
0 - 1
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 2
AUR
42%
29%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
CEL
0 - 0
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 2
ALA
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
GER
0 - 2
COM
15%
24%
61%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CUL
0 - 1
GER
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
GER
0 - 0
BAR
28%
31%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CDO
2 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
GER
0 - 1
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |