CD Lugo vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
LUG
2 - 1
CEL
14%
26%
60%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 3
RMC
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
PON
3 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 1
RCF
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
FUE
3 - 0
AVI
58%
24%
18%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
ROB
1 - 2
FUE
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
FUE
1 - 0
AVI
45%
28%
27%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
REA
4 - 1
FUE
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
FUE
0 - 1
MST
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |