Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
CD Lugo vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
LUG
0 - 0
COX
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GRA
0 - 0
LUG
58%
25%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
LUG
3 - 0
CEL
66%
22%
13%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
LEM
0 - 1
LUG
21%
30%
49%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
LUG
3 - 1
VIV
64%
23%
13%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ATB
1 - 0
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
DEP
4 - 0
RCF
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
DEP
3 - 0
ZAR
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 3
DEP
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
RCF
2 - 0
DEP
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |