Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-2
CD Lugo vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HUE
1 - 0
LUG
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZAM
59%
26%
15%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
LOG
1 - 1
LUG
54%
27%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LUG
4 - 1
CAU
51%
29%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ALM
2 - 1
DEP
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAS
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
PON
2 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RCF
2 - 2
DEP
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
DEP
0 - 0
BET
42%
26%
31%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |