Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-1
CD Lugo vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
LUG
3 - 3
GIM
52%
28%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
ARE
2 - 0
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZAR
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
LUG
4 - 0
LAR
62%
25%
14%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
NAV
3 - 2
LUG
15%
23%
63%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
DEP
2 - 2
ALA
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
VAD
3 - 1
DEP
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
DEP
3 - 2
GUA
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
DEP
1 - 0
RJA
76%
18%
6%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 2
DEP
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |