Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-3
CD Lugo vs Cultural Leonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUG
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 1
CUL
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 1
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCM
1 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
CUL
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAC
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
LUG
2 - 1
CUL
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
SDE
2 - 0
CUL
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
CUL
1 - 1
ARE
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
CUL
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
37%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |