Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 5-3
CD Lugo vs Coruxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 1
CDT
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COX
2 - 3
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RMC
1 - 0
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
COX
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Coruxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
COX
42%
28%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
COX
2 - 3
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COX
1 - 1
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
OVI
2 - 0
COX
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
COX
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |