Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-6
CD Lugo vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
LUG
49%
27%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 3
RMC
47%
27%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
PON
3 - 1
LUG
50%
28%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 1
RCF
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
VAL
0 - 0
LUG
35%
30%
35%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
DEP
1 - 2
CEL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
CEL
2 - 4
FCB
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1994 |
VAD
1 - 1
CEL
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
CEL
0 - 0
OVI
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
RSO
2 - 3
CEL
56%
26%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |