CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
LUG
3 - 0
BET
80%
15%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUG
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 0
VIV
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 3
LUG
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAR
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
FUE
3 - 3
CEL
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 2
PON
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 3
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CDO
1 - 3
CEL
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 1
RSI
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |