Segunda B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-1
CD Lugo vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDT
4 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
0 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
ATB
1 - 2
MIR
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATB
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
ATB
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATB
2 - 2
HOS
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
ATB
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |