Segunda B Playoffs Final
Global 4-4
CD Lugo vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
LUG
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
ATB
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDT
4 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
ALB
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAD
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
RMC
5 - 1
CAD
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 3
RMC
52%
23%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
CAD
12%
21%
66%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |