CD Lugo vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ATH
1 - 0
LUG
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
LUG
0 - 0
ROB
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 0
LUG
46%
30%
25%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
LUG
4 - 0
UPL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
CDU
1 - 0
BER
59%
25%
16%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
CUL
0 - 0
CDU
65%
23%
12%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
CDU
1 - 0
ARO
32%
32%
36%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
RCF
0 - 0
CDU
53%
27%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
CDU
0 - 2
AVI
32%
31%
37%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |