Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-7
CD Lugo vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
GIN
1 - 2
LUG
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
4 - 2
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
LUG
3 - 0
LEN
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
DEP
3 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
LUG
5 - 0
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
2 - 1
OVI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1970 |
BUR
4 - 2
LUG
87%
10%
4%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ELC
2 - 1
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ESP
3 - 2
BUR
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |