CD Lugo vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
OVI
3 - 1
LUG
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
PEG
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
CDO
2 - 4
LUG
68%
22%
11%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
47%
30%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
DEP
2 - 1
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
ATB
2 - 1
SSC
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
ATH
4 - 0
ATB
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ATB
4 - 0
UPL
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 2
ATB
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ATB
2 - 2
HUE
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |