CD Lugo vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
RCF
2 - 1
LUG
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
SSR
2 - 0
LUG
28%
32%
40%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
LUG
3 - 0
CUL
63%
25%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
34%
31%
35%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
TOM
65%
23%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
ARO
1 - 0
CUL
49%
28%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
PON
1 - 1
ARO
61%
23%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
ARO
0 - 1
TOM
54%
26%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1994 |
SPB
3 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
18%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1994 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
55%
26%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |