CD Lugo vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
COM
1 - 3
LUG
42%
30%
28%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARE
0 - 0
LUG
26%
34%
40%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1987 |
LUG
2 - 2
RSO
40%
29%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
BUR
2 - 0
LUG
68%
23%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 2
EIB
45%
31%
24%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 0
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARO
1 - 3
LAL
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
POR
3 - 1
ARO
25%
27%
49%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
ARO
0 - 1
COX
86%
11%
3%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
GRA
2 - 0
ARO
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |