Segunda B Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-1
CD Lugo vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
MUR
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
LUG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EXT
3 - 1
LUG
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
ALA
0 - 0
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 1
ZAM
71%
18%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CUL
2 - 2
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |