CD Lugo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 2
LUG
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
LUG
2 - 1
CDO
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 3
LUG
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
RMC
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PON
0 - 2
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIB
1 - 4
ALC
18%
25%
57%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
1 - 0
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ALC
2 - 2
ALC
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |