Lugazi Municipal vs NEC FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
68.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+751%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
0 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
MHF
34%
22%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
LUG
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
VIP
15%
20%
65%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 0
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
NEC FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
WAK
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
MFC
53%
21%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
EXP
2 - 1
NEC
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 0
UPD
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |