Lugazi Municipal vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+751%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 1
LUG
78%
13%
8%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
KCC
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
UGA
0 - 0
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
WAK
0 - 0
LUG
78%
13%
8%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 0
NEC
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | +5 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 3
MFC
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
EXP
3 - 1
MCF
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 0
MHF
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
UPD
2 - 1
MCF
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 3
VIP
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |