Lugazi Municipal vs Kitara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
73.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+751%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugazi Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 4
URA
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
SCV
4 - 1
LUG
80%
14%
6%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Kitara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
KIT
0 - 1
TUS
7%
12%
81%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
KIT
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KIT
3 - 0
GAD
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
KIT
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KIT
3 - 2
JIN
67%
18%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |