FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
8º
2º
49
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
YOB
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
LUG
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
GCZ
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STG
1 - 4
LUG
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
YVE
3 - 0
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |