FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
2 - 2
INT
5%
17%
78%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
WIN
60%
22%
17%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 1
RAP
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 9
LUG
2%
7%
91%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
6 - 1
KRI
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 4
NEX
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
FCV
0 - 0
ZUR
35%
23%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
FEY
1 - 0
ZUR
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |