FC Lugano vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
LUG
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAC
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
WOH
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 1
LUG
26%
26%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 3
BAU
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
YFJ
3 - 4
GCZ
10%
19%
71%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
YVE
1 - 0
YFJ
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
YFJ
0 - 1
KRI
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 0
YFJ
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |