FC Lugano vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
4.5%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 1
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
LAU
1 - 1
LUG
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LUG
2 - 1
SCH
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FCV
3 - 2
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
YFJ
3 - 4
NEX
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
YOB
3 - 1
YFJ
79%
14%
6%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
YFJ
1 - 0
STG
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ETO
1 - 0
YFJ
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
YFJ
1 - 5
CSC
30%
27%
44%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |