FC Lugano vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
BIE
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
KRI
2 - 2
LUG
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 3
BIE
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UZU
1 - 5
LUG
12%
17%
71%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCA
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 4
WIL
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 16 | 44 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |